Uncertainty and Learning in the Management of Environmental and Natural Resources

A workshop organized by:
Christopher Costello and Charles Kolstad
with Rebecca Toseland

December 3-4, 2009

Hosted by:

UC Center for Energy and Environmental Economics (UCEEE)
Department of Economics, UCSB

This workshop is made possible, in part, by financial support from the US Environmental Protection Agency and the UC Center for Energy and Environmental Economics

Agenda

Wednesday, December 2 Arrival in Santa Barbara

Thursday, December 3

8:00 a.m. Pick-up at Upham Hotel

8:30 a.m. Arrival at the Loma Pelona Center on UCSB campus

9:00 – 10:00 a.m. Bayesian Econometrics: Past, Present and Future, Arnold Zellner, University of Chicago

Additional materials

Discussant: David Kelly, University of Miami

10:00 – 10:15 a.m. Break

10:15 – 11:15 a.m. Risk and Uncertainty in the Economics of Climate Change, Richard Howarth, Dartmouth College

Discussant: Christopher Guo, UCSB

11:15 – 11:30 a.m. Break

11:30 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Evolution of Subjective Hurricane Risk Perceptions, A Bayesian Approach, David Kelly, University of Miami

Discussant: Richard Howarth, Dartmouth College

12:30 – 2:00 p.m. Lunch

2:00 – 3:00 p.m. Water Allocation under Asymmetric Climate Information: Implications for Equity, Bargaining and Participation in Northeast Brazil,

Alexander Pfaff, Duke University

Discussant: Daniel Saunders, UCSB

3:00 – 3:15 p.m. Break

3:15 – 4:15 p.m. Implementing Uncertainty and Learning in Climate Change Policy Analysis, Erin Baker, Stanford University

Discussant: Rebecca Toseland, UCSB

4:15 – 4:30 p.m.                     Break

4:30 – 5:30 p.m.                    Policy Roundtable Discussion--Policy Implications of Uncertainty and Learning

5:30 p.m. Adjourn

6:00 p.m. Reception on Miller Sky Terrace, Mosher Alumni House

7:00 p.m. Dinner in Haughton Living Room, Mosher Alumni House

Friday, December 4

8:00 a.m. Pick-up at Upham Hotel

8:30 a.m. Arrival at the Loma Pelona Center

9:00 – 10:00 a.m. Uncertainty and learning with International Environmental Agreements, Larry Karp, UC Berkeley

Discussant: Charles Stuart, UCSB

10:00 – 10:15 a.m. Break

10:15 – 11:15 a.m. Dictating the Risks - Theory and Experimental Evidence On Norms of Giving In Risky Environments,

Andreas Lange, University of Maryland

Discussant: Alexander Pfaff, Duke University

11:15 – 11:30 a.m. Break

11:30 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Strategic and non-Strategic Environmental Policy, Learning and Uncertainty, Charles Kolstad

Discussant: Larry Karp, UC Berkeley

12:30 – 2:00 p.m. Lunch

2:00 – 3:00 p.m. Information Gathering in Search, Christopher Costello, UCSB

Discussant: Andreas Lange, University of Maryland

3:00-3:15 p.m. Wrap-up

3:15 p.m. Adjourn

All papers: presenter 35 minutes, discussant 10 minutes, general discussion 15 minutes

Information about Santa Barbara

For a general guide to Santa Barbara attractions, click HERE.

Questions?

Contact Rebecca Toseland at envecon@bren.ucsb.edu.