Working Papers

A Forward Looking Ricardian Approach: Do Land Markets Capitalize Climate Change Forecasts?
(with C. Costello and C. Severen)

Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks, Climate Change, and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth Rates
(with A. Barreca and M. Guldi)

Weather and Death in India: Implications for Climate Change
(with R. Burgess, D. Donaldson, and M. Greenstone)



Selected Publications

Defensive Investments and the Demand for Air Quality: Evidence from the NOx Budget Program and Ozone Reductions
(with Michael Greenstone and Joseph Shapiro),
American Economic Review, Forthcoming NBER Working Paper Revised Paper


Adapting to Climate Change: The Remarkable Decline in the U.S. Temperature-Mortality Relationship Over the 20th Century
(with Alan Barreca, Karen Clay, Michel Greenstone and Joseph Shapiro),
Journal of Political Economy, 124(1): 105-159, February 2016 Paper


Convergence in Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from High Temperatures and Mortality, 1900-2004
(with A. Barreca, K. Clay, M. Greenstone and J. Shapiro),
American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 105(5): 247-51, May 2015 Paper


Temperature, Human Health, and Adaptation: A Review of the Empirical Literature,
Energy Economics, 46: 609-619, November 2014 Paper


The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Reply
(with Michael Greenstone), American Economic Review, 102(7): 3761-3773, December 2012 Paper Online Appendix Supplementary Appendix Data


Status and Solutions for the World's Unassessed Fisheries
(with Christopher Costello, Daniel Ovando, Ray Hilborn, Steven Gaines and Sarah Lester), Science, 338, 517-520, October 26 2012 Paper Supplementary Online Materials


Climate Policy and Labor Markets
in The Design and Implementation of U.S. Climate Policy, Edited by Don Fullerton and Catherine Wolfram, University of Chicago Press, 2012 Paper


Economic Impacts of Climate Change on California Agriculture
(with Charles Kolstad), Climatic Change, 109, 365-386, December 2011 Paper


Climate Change, Mortality, and Adaptation: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather in the U.S.
(with Michael Greenstone), American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3(4): 152-185, October 2011 Paper


Extreme Weather Events, Mortality and Migration
(with Enrico Moretti), Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(4): 659-681, November 2009 Paper


Climate Change and Birth Weight
(with Michael Greenstone and Jonathan Guryan),
American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 99(2): 211-217, May 2009 Paper


Estimating the Effect of Family Background on the Return to Schooling
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 25(3): 265-277, July 2007 Paper


The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather
(with Michael Greenstone), American Economic Review, 97(1): 354-385, March 2007 Paper Appendix Data


The Long-Term Impact of Military Service on Health: Evidence from World War II and Korea Veterans
(with Kelly Bedard), American Economic Review 96(1): 176-194, March 2006 Paper Data Data for Tables 7 and 8


Sex Preferences, Marital Dissolution and the Economic Status of Women
(with Kelly Bedard), Journal of Human Resources 40: 411-434, Spring 2005 Paper


Do Unemployment Insurance Claimants Actively Seek Work? Evidence from Randomized Trial in Four U.S. States
(with Orley Ashenfelter and David Ashmore), Journal of Econometrics 125(1): 53-75, 2005 Paper



Unpublished Papers

Unobserved Ability, Comparative Advantage and the Rising Return to Education in the United States 1979-2002