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UCSB econ Professor Dick Startz and a team of statisticians and climate scientists at the University of Washington forecast likely temperatures to 2100 based on projections of population growth, economic growth, and diminishing carbon intensity.

by Anne Ellis | Jul 31, 2017

In “Less than 2◦ C warming by 2100 unlikely,” published online today in Nature: Climate Change, UCSB econ Professor Dick Startz and a team of statisticians and climate scientists at the University of Washington forecast likely temperatures to 2100 based on projections of population growth, economic growth, and diminishing carbon intensity. The news is not good, as probabilistic forecasts show keeping temperature change below two degrees is very unlikely. Coverage of the research includes CNN, the Washington Post, and the Daily Mail, among many other outlets.